Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.039246 0.045929 0.053289 0.061982 0.071951 0.083009 0.096186
2025-03-23 0.030179 0.039142 0.049943 0.063854 0.081217 0.102095 0.129014
2025-03-30 0.023254 0.033075 0.045899 0.063714 0.087637 0.118445 0.160875
2025-04-06 0.017860 0.027652 0.041405 0.061856 0.091160 0.131228 0.189657
2025-04-13 0.014141 0.023667 0.037964 0.060568 0.094876 0.144325 0.220106
2025-04-20 0.012337 0.022114 0.037663 0.063583 0.104908 0.167188 0.266695
2025-04-27 0.010766 0.020575 0.037041 0.065862 0.113921 0.189331 0.314408
2025-05-04 0.008835 0.018011 0.034263 0.064115 0.116132 0.201014 0.346982
2025-05-11 0.007465 0.016167 0.032374 0.063499 0.119964 0.215447 0.385091
2025-05-18 0.006189 0.014235 0.029977 0.061555 0.121124 0.225370 0.416457
2025-05-25 0.005215 0.012705 0.028069 0.060182 0.123024 0.236569 0.450811
2025-06-01 0.004579 0.011766 0.027160 0.060568 0.128148 0.253818 0.497157
2025-06-08 0.003816 0.010397 0.025173 0.058572 0.128591 0.262861 0.530113
2025-06-15 0.003535 0.010118 0.025491 0.061432 0.139025 0.291610 0.602204
2025-06-22 0.003121 0.009413 0.024738 0.061861 0.144516 0.311375 0.659033
2025-06-29 0.002651 0.008452 0.023217 0.060339 0.145673 0.322669 0.700379
2025-07-06 0.002275 0.007660 0.021961 0.059224 0.147546 0.335518 0.745847
2025-07-13 0.002146 0.007551 0.022410 0.062256 0.159033 0.369261 0.836485
2025-07-20 0.001994 0.007338 0.022549 0.064534 0.169027 0.400692 0.924808
2025-07-27 0.001706 0.006622 0.021205 0.062840 0.169463 0.411519 0.970559
2025-08-03 0.001497 0.006110 0.020332 0.062246 0.172458 0.428197 1.030158
2025-08-10 0.001277 0.005496 0.019050 0.060342 0.171965 0.436939 1.073025
2025-08-17 0.001103 0.005001 0.018027 0.058997 0.172708 0.448538 1.123116